Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017 0.000019
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000014 0.000017 0.000021 0.000025
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000052
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000038 0.000063
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000042 0.000075
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027 0.000047 0.000092
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000118
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000031 0.000063 0.000143
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000071 0.000175
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000079 0.000210
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000037 0.000088 0.000253
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000039 0.000097 0.000306
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000110 0.000379
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000044 0.000124 0.000468
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000044 0.000130 0.000534
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000142 0.000634
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000152 0.000737
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000048 0.000168 0.000899
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000053 0.000197 0.001187
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000055 0.000216 0.001443
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000058 0.000243 0.001809